Soviet condemnation of Iraq was intended to give and has given a new impetus to apprent Soviet-American collaboration in the international arena. If a colution to the crisis is to be sought through non-violent means, it might be through an international conference on the Middle East. At such a conference, Soviet and Iraqi interests would coincide and an attempt would be made to trade-off an Iraqi withdrawal from Kuwait against an Israeli withdrawal from the Occupied Territories.
Better still from the point of view of Soviet strategy would be the involvement of the United States in a protracted war in the Middle East while the Soviets continue to pursue their political offensive against the United States and Western Europe. Such a war would intensify the oil crisis and drive the American economy into depression. The Soviets would then be in a strong position to exploit both the depression and the cleavage in American opinion which prolonged warfare would entail, to promote their strategy of ‘convergence’. Whether a solution of the crisis is sought through violent of non-violent means, its prolongation serves to distract American attention from the Soviet political offensive.
The nature of Soviet and Chinese coordinated strategic intentions dicates the utmost caution on the part of the United States. The United States and its allies should seek to solve the conflict with Iraq by diplomacy and by all other means short of actual war, which could suit the interests of Soviet long-range strategy.
Memorandum to the CIA: 26 March 1992
A second upgraded strategy involves the use of the new ‘independent’ Muslim states in the CIS to establish and develop economic and political cooperation with the fundamentalists in Iran and elsewhere in the Muslim world.
According to this assessment the much-advertised feud between the Armenians and the Azerbaijanis of Turkish descent in the Nagorno-Kabakh may be a tactical ploy to involve Turkey, Iran and other Muslim countries in support eventual alliance with Azerbaijan and other Central Asian Muslim states in the CIS. This strategy takes into account the growing power of the fundamentalists and the possibility of their gaining control over substantial oil reserves.
A primary objective of the strategy here is to achieve a partnership with the fundamentalists in Iran and Algeria and to replace the present American-oriented rulers of Saudi Arabia with fundamentalists. The opening in Saudi Arabia of a Russian Embassy and the probable opening of Embassies by Muslim states of the CUS should be seen, not only as as an attempt to extract a few extra saudi billions, but as part of an offensive to bring about a political reorientation in that country.
Chinese Muslims can also be expected to play an active role in promoting alliances with the fundamentalists. The supply of missiles to Iran by the Chinese should be looked at in the contest of this strategy.
[...]
The fourth strategy is that of using and manipulating the changes in the former Soviet Union to bring about, the longer run, radical changes in relations between the United States and Israel, in the political power structure in Israel itself, in Israel’s position in the Middle East and in world opinion towards Israel.
Memorandum to the CIA: 27 September, 1993
[...]
[The above with respect to the Muslim world] entails involving Western countries on the side of the Georgians and Armenians while involving Turkey, Iran and Arab countries inter alia on the side of the Turkic and Muslim Azers. The longer-term purpose of this manoeuvre is, through the Muslims of the former USSR, to consolidate concealed Russian influence over Islamic fundamentalism to complement that being openly sought by the Chinese Communists.
This Sino-Soviet strategy is based on the experience of Iran where the Islamic fundamentalists came to power. As an anti-American and anti-Western movement, Islamic fundamentalism offers obvious possibilities for undermining the pro-western regimes in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf. The Chinese communists are openly supporting and supplying the Iranian Government.
Under concealed Russian guidance, the Muslims of the former USSR, especially the Azers will seek the Azers, will seek to cooperate and ally themselves with Muslims in Iran and the Arab states while Russia maintains its open policy of cooperation and partnership with the West. In thie way China openly and Russia secretly will jointly attempt to swing the balance of power in their favour in the highly strategic oil-producing Arab-Iranian areas of the Middle East.
– Anatoliy Golitsyn
Thus was the Middle East we see today predicted long ago.
Golitsyn’s analysis allows us to see through Alexander Dugin’s lie that Russia will destroy China using Central Asian Muslims due to insufficient Chinese anti-Americanism; to the contrary, Beijing is Moscow’s indispensable partner. Lenin would be proud.
Due to sentiment against a protracted Iraq war and panic over economic woes Golitsyn foresaw, the crypto-communist Democrats and the Muslim communist Premier Obama have indeed been brought to power in the last election as America provides weapons to a suicidal, isolated Israel’s mortal enemies.